Analysing the list and predicting the results as Liverpool and Arsenal try to topple Man City in the closest race in years.
It appeared as though Arsenal would win the Premier League for the first time since 2004 at this time last year. Unfortunately for the long-suffering Gunners faithful, Manchester City once again won the title after Mikel Arteta’s promising young team ran out of steam in the final stages.
The champions are favourites to win it all again this year, but as April draws near, they’re facing more pressure than they did the previous year because Arsenal leads Liverpool on goal differential and has unexpectedly become a real title contender in what was supposed to be a season of change at Anfield.
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Current table
| Premier League table (before 31 March games) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Played | Points | GD | GS | Form (past 5 games) |
| 1. Arsenal | 28 | 64 | 46 | 70 | WWWWW |
| 2. Liverpool | 28 | 64 | 39 | 65 | DWWWD |
| 3. Man City | 28 | 63 | 35 | 63 | WWWWD |
Analysing the list and predicting the results as Liverpool and Arsenal try to topple Man City in the closest race in years.#MCIARS #Mancityfc #mancityfans #Arsenal #afc #COYG #PremierLeague #PremierLeagueNaESPN #ChelseaFC #tottenham #Erling #MUFC #ManchesterUnited #ArsenalFC pic.twitter.com/P9VV3BFnpa
— Neo Prime Sports (@Neoprimesports) March 31, 2024
What are the remaining fixtures?
| Liverpool | Manchester City | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| March | Brighton (H) | Arsenal (H) | Manchester City (A) |
| April | Sheffield United (H) | Aston Villa (H) | Luton (H) |
| Manchester United (A) | Crystal Palace (A) | Brighton (A) | |
| Crystal Palace (H) | Luton (H) | Aston Villa (H) | |
| Fulham (A) | Wolves (A) | ||
| Everton (A) | Brighton (A) | Chelsea (H) | |
| West Ham (A) | Nottingham Forest (A) | Tottenham (A) | |
| May | Tottenham (H) | Wolves (H) | Bournemouth (H) |
| Aston Villa (A) | Fulham (A) | Manchester United (A) | |
| Wolves (H) | West Ham (H) | Everton (H) | |
| Postponed to date tbc | Tottenham (A) |
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Who do the prediction models suggest wins the title?
| Predicted Premier League final table – Gracenote | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Predicted points | % chance of winning title | Current position & points |
| 1. Man City | 86 | 44 | 3nd – 63 points |
| 2. Liverpool | 86 | 37 | 2nd – 64 points |
| 3. Arsenal | 83 | 19 | 1st – 64 points |
Gracenote estimates the probability of each match outcome – win, draw or loss – using their Euro Club Index and then simulates the rest of the season a million times to create the probabilities.
| Predicted Premier League final table – Opta | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Predicted final points | % chance of winning title | Current position & points |
| 1. Man City | 86 | 46 | 3rd – 63 points |
| 2. Liverpool | 85 | 35 | 2nd – 64 points |
| 3. Arsenal | 83 | 19 | 1st – 64 points |
Opta’s prediction model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and the Opta team rankings – based on historical and recent team performances. These are simulated thousands of times to create the probabilities.
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